Ten Fearless Predictions for 2026

The Budget is behind us, the Fed has cut interest rates, and the BOE is highly likely to follow suit on Thursday. Time to put this year to bed and focus on what 2026 may bring:

1. The S&P 500 will top 7,000 but may also revisit 5,000, and possibly reach 8,000 too, because markets remain gloriously and stubbornly unpredictable.

2. The Democrats will take both Houses in the midterms, because eventually, voters notice when they are worse off.

3. Liverpool will win the Champions League, because we won’t win the Premier League, which will go to Manchester City after Arsenal briefly convince themselves this is their year.

4. Keir Starmer will remain Prime Minister, largely because the next election isn’t until 2029 and British politics has become an endurance sport.

5. Bitcoin will break $200,000, while altcoins remain stuck in purgatory as day traders continue to nurse emotional and financial scars.

6. Gold will not exceed 2,000, because we have been there, done that, and it never breaks out. Sorry, that was last year’s prediction. Enough said.

7. Interest rates will stay higher for longer, because inflation isn’t going quietly and supply chains don’t rebuild themselves overnight.

8. UK house prices will continue to drift lower, as capital, entrepreneurs, and the last optimistic taxpayer quietly head for the exit and turn the lights off.

9. Value stocks and small caps to outperform, because they’re cheap, unloved, and it’s what everyone predicts every single year.

10. Alcaraz to win Wimbledon, and the Claygate Royals U12 Girls Falcons football team to take the title in the Surrey County Women’s & Girls League (SCWGL) Tier 4, because life is that good.

Wishing you a Merry Christmas, a healthy and prosperous New Year, and much success in 2026.