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When something bad happens, it is seldomly treated as a blessing at the time. And so, our story begins in the very nucleus of the worst period in the history of mankind. It was the year 1941 and a little boy from the East was on the move with his parents. A great power...

As we have so often pointed out, investing is really simple if you take it for what it is. You are taking a bet, which you believe has a (high) chance of working out in your favour, on a random set of outcomes. It is why investing is so often compared to gambling. True...

The thing about investing is that there are always two sides to every trade, e.g. in order for one to buy something, another has to be willing to sell something at an agreed price. This creates an interesting dynamic, because the one buying thinks the price will go up,...

Before we go into the intricacies of the financial markets, it may make sense to elaborate on the term 'mean reversion'. By definition, anything that does not go up or down in a straight line will revert at some point. The question is, where does it revert to? E.g. wha...

All else being equal, I think we can all agree that we would risk more on things when we have a higher degree of comfort that they will work out in our favour. The question is, how do we gain this comfort? Do we need to assign a probability to quantify exactly how comf...

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Profile piece: Christian Armbruester, CIO and founding principal, recently interviewed with Citywire about Blu Family Office

25/05/2018

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